Arizona has responded to financial incentives in the Affordable Care Act by expanding Medicaid eligibility. What will be the impact of the expansion? There are three primary outcomes:
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The number of privately insured individuals will fall 333,000 in 2014 and, by 2023, the number of privately insured will be 450,000 fewer than it would be otherwise.
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The net number of Medicaid participants will increase 1.07 million in 2014 and, by 2023, the number of Medicaid enrollees will be 1.65 million higher than it would be otherwise.
- The total cost to the state of covering these new Medicaid beneficiaries will reach $906 million annually within the next decade.