How the Fed Creates Money

Signs of an economic slowdown, or recession, have prompted the Federal Reserve to lower interest rates.  The Fed reduces interest rates by increasing the supply of money available to borrow.  This additional money is distributed to banks and loaned to consumers.  Assuming a constant demand for money, an increase in the quantity of money will cause interest rates to drop.  But how does the Fed increase the money supply?

Electricity Deregulation: Taking the Next Step

A new technology called "smart" metering and innovative residential pricing plans have the potential to revolutionize the electric power industry and reduce monthly electricity bills for many consumers.  Utilities in the states that have deregulated electric power have the strongest market incentives to implement these new features, and customers in some states are beginning to reap the benefits.

Economic Growth without Inflation

Can the economy grow faster without causing inflation to accelerate?  Some argue that the downside of a rapidly rising gross domestic product (GDP) is more inflation, and that you can't have more of the former without more of the latter.  But both logic and history suggest otherwise.

Income Distribution: Stagnant or Mobile?

The problem for the Democrats is that the American people don't believe in class warfare. They don't hate the rich because they are rich. On the contrary, they want nothing more than to emulate them. And many Americans believe that they have a good shot at joining the ranks of the rich. The data confirm that such hopes and expectations are not unrealistic.

Stock Returns and Economic Growth

Over the last decade, the Social Security Administration has evaluated numerous reform proposals. Recently, when evaluating reforms that involve investments in the stock market, the Social Security Administration assumed the historical average annual real stock return of 6.5 percent will persist into the future. The Social Security Administration also projects the future status of the program. These projections are summarized in the annual Trustees Reports and form the basis for scoring the reform proposals. The most recent Trustees Report assumes the real annual gross domestic product (GDP) growth rate will be about 1.9 percent over the 75 year horizon. This assumption is lower than the actual experience of the past 75 years, a period in which the economy grew at a real rate of 3.4 percent a year, on average.

Ten Consequences of Economic Freedom

Economic freedom raises incomes and improves living standards. It requires strong institutions and encourages their further development. Over time, poor developing countries that have adopted policies consistent with economic freedom have pulled ahead of their former peers.

Economic Freedom Index of North America 2004

The statistical results of this year's study persuasively confirm those published last year: economic freedom is a powerful driver of growth and prosperity and those provinces and states that have low levels of economic freedom continue to leave their citizens poorer than they need or should be.

Piling Up Future Debts

Recent federal budget projections show much larger deficits over the next five years than were expected just a short while ago. However, these short-term projections convey almost no information about the true magnitude of our nation's financial problems. We need to adopt a comprehensive fiscal accounting system that communicates the size of unfunded future federal spending commitments under current policies.

Economic Mobility

The rising demand for more educated, experienced and technologically able workers has produced a more dispersed distribution of income. The increasing income gap between the highest and lowest paid workers is a concern if some groups of workers are fated to remain at the bottom of the economic ladder throughout their working lives.

401(k) Reform: Doing It the Right Way

401(k) retirement savings plans have been popular over the past three decades. However, the Enron debacle and the recent stock market slump are spurring Congress and the Bush administration to propose changes in the law. Wise reform could lead to higher returns and safer portfolios for the vast majority of workers. On the other hand, unwise reforms could induce employers to drop these plans altogether.

Reinventing Retirement Income in America

Traditional defined benefit pension plans, which are managed by employers and which promise workers a specific monthly payment on retirement, are disappearing. Instead, more than 42 million workers now participate in defined contribution retirement plans, primarily 401(k) plans, which specify the annual contributions to an employee's pension fund.

Giving a Leg Up to Bootstrap Entrepreneurship

The regulatory climate for very small, neighborhood-based businesses, or microenterprises, in large American cities can significantly influence urban economic dynamism. Case studies of Boston, Dallas, Atlanta, and Los Angeles help illuminate the complexity and detail of regulatory barriers to entrepreneurship and identify programs and other efforts to encourage neighborhood-based development.

Saving for a Rainy Day

In its January forecast, the Congressional Budget Office (CBO) projected budget surpluses totaling $5.6 trillion between 2002 and 2011, up from $4.6 trillion a year earlier. This forecast assumes (1) no tax cut, (2) no spending increase and (3) no Social Security privatization. The forecast therefore assumes that the surpluses will be used to pay down the government debt available for repurchase and then buy assets that earn a return similar to that earned on Treasury issues. This means that beginning in 2006, the government would do something it has never done: accumulate and hold significant levels of private financial assets.

Saving the Surplus

A surplus is political manna, enabling politicians to fund their favorite programs.  The fundamental choice is between using the Social Security surpluses to reduce the federal debt and using them to prepay future Social Security benefits. All other policy choices derive from this choice. Thus, the bulk of our analysis deals with the choice between retiring debt and prepaying future benefits.

Should the Fed Raise Margin Requirements?

On March 21, the Federal Reserve raised both the federal funds rate (the interest rate banks charge each other on loans) and the discount rate (the interest rate the Fed charges banks) by another 25 basis points (1/4th of 1 percent). In the wake of this latest increase, growing numbers of economists and politicians are starting to question the Fed's action. They are asking why farmers, small businesses and home buyers must be punished when the Fed's principal target appears to be the stock market. They are urging the Fed to raise margin requirements (the maximum percent of an investment that can be made with funds investors borrow from their brokers) instead of raising interest rates.

Power For Sale

For most of the 20th century, electric power has been produced and sold by local monopoly utilities. Consumers were prohibited from buying power from rival producers and other sellers were prohibited from entering utilities' protected markets. Deregulation of other industries, such as long-distance telephone service and natural gas, has reduced prices and increased the variety and quality of services available. This has led to increasing pressure to deregulate the electric power industry.

The Right Stuff: America's Move to Mass Customization

Things used to be made to order and made to fit. But they were labor-intensive and expensive. Mass production came along and made things more affordable, but at a cost – the cost of sameness, the cost of one-size-fits-all. Technology is beginning to let us have it both ways. And just as mass production was the hallmark of yesterday's Industrial Age, mass customization promises to dominate the modern stage of America's economic evolution-the Information Age.

Why Not Abolish the Community Reinvestment Act?

Before a bank can merge with another bank – or even open a new branch – it must get permission from federal regulators. And in giving that permission, regulators are obliged by the Community Reinvestment Act of 1977 (CRA), to consider whether the lender has served the entire community, including low- and moderate-income neighborhoods.